Home » Keith Sweatt’s NBA Props 03/03

Keith Sweatt’s NBA Props 03/03

by Keith Jaco

I think Mike Breen said it best… BANG! BANG! BANG!!!

Not only do we remain profitable, we cashed a $100 dub, thanks to Mr. Dub himself, Klay Thompson.

After sweating through Kyrie’s final assist in crunch time following a quick three assists in the third quarter, we managed to cash Klay Thompson’s PAR o32.5 in the 3Q!

Thompson continued his hot streak, finishing with a 19 PTS, 11 REB and 4 AST performance in a 115-91 Warriors victory. Thankfully, Klay was able to pull down plenty of boards in the third quarter to help us cash before he sat out the fourth in a rout.

I stayed up a little too late watching the final game unfold, but I wouldn’t have it any other way when we’re cashing tickets!

Now of course, with the win comes the losses.

We went 1 for 2 on a last second play in which Tyrese Maxey picked up where he left off against Miami, clearing his PAR with ease, finishing with 29 points, 2 boards and 2 assists in the Sixers’ 133-126 loss at Dallas.

While Maxey handled business, Kawhi Leonard just couldn’t get any help from his teammates as he finished with an underwhelming goose egg (0) in the assist column. I tailed this play from Twitter, and I stand by it. 

With the increased pace of the Clippers since Westbrook’s arrival, paired with an opponent like Golden State, there ended up being plenty of assists opportunities, shots just didn’t fall. Oh well!

In our final play of the night, we tailed a Steven Cheah pick with Pascal Siakam’s o22.5 points, paired with Bradley Beal’s o22.5 points. With the Wizards facing Toronto, we unfortunately saw both players fall short. I had a hunch in Kuzma’s points, but stayed away. Whoops!

You can bet your bottom dollar we’ll be tailing Cheah again today. In Cheah We Trust.

Now that we’ve recapped, let’s dive into a few plays for another fun slate in the National Basketball Association’s Thursday night action.

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES @ DENVER NUGGETS

I don’t necessarily love backing a Grizzlies player on the road given their abysmal 12-18 record away from FedEx Forum, but I did find a nice little trend we can latch onto.

Desmond Bane is coming off a 6-9 3-PT shooting night on Tuesday night at Houston. His three made line is set at o/u 2.5 made threes. Bane has hit this mark in 5 of his L6 road games and 5 of his L10 overall. 

I’m not in love with this play, but I’m willing to ride his hot shooting in Houston into a pivotal matchup between the 1 and 2 seeds in the Western Conference.

Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are looking to avenge last Saturday’s road loss to Memphis, this time at home.

Jokic’s AST prop is set at 10 even on Prize Picks. This pick is a bit dicey, but there’s data to back us up in taking this play.

Jokic has hit at least 10 assists in 8 of his L11 games, including 11 of his L13 home games dating back to Jan. 5th.

The only downside to taking this prop is the chance of Jokic stopping at 10 even, leading to a push.

In the 11 hits at home, Jokic has failed to go higher than 10 assists. Even with this knowledge, it still seems like a fair play to take him o10 ASTS in a battle against the 2 seeded Grizzlies. 

I’m going to pair these two plays with Ja Morant’s points and hope for the best. This feels like a good spot to back Ja against a stout Western Conference opponent.

In addition to this play, I’m also playing the twofer below. These picks are strictly Twitter tails, so do what you will with that information

That’s all I got for tonight, I haven’t had a proper chance to dive into all the teams in action. I’ll likely pair some tailing picks together with maybe one new hunch to see if I can’t add another W to the win column. 

There’s a solid slate of games again tomorrow night, and I plan on diving head first into some research once I get back from Orlando.

Until then, let’s remain profitable and keep increasing that bankroll. 

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